A NSW Government website

Planning the model

Scenario modelling

We build and calibrate different versions of our river system models to assess compliance with Murray-Darling Basin water planning and sharing regulations.

Sun shining on the river with gum trees surrounding. Image credit: Siv Teh DPE

About the scenarios

Scenario models help us examine different possible system conditions and determine whether regulatory limits are being met including:

  • the Murray-Darling Basin Plan diversion cap
  • baseline diversion limits (BDL)
  • annual permitted take (APT)
  • long-term average annual extraction limits (LTAAEL).

This table presents the status of existing models for NSW Murray Darling Basin water sharing plans. It lists the names of the model files of the current accredited or authorised model versions used for assessing compliance. Models with the file extension .sqq are created using IQQM modelling software; models with a file extension of .rsproj are built using Source software. Learn more about our software transition project.

You can also download the Scenario model table PDF, 101.75 KB

Water sharing plan Approved or accredited cap model Current conditions Accredited BDL model Accredited APT modelLTAAEL compliance and plan limit scenario modelsNotes
Barwon–Darling Unregulated River Water Source 2012LT92_30.sqq*DarlAPT01_2Curr.sqqBD_BDL_2021.sqq#DarlAPT04.sqq#LTAAEL_2022.sqq*Temporary approval lapsed and has not been renewed

#Submitted for accreditation
Belubula Regulated River Water Sources 2012No modelInput set WSP_inPracticeBelubula_4507552_
WRP_001.rsproj (input set BDL)*
No model#BELB_5.0.0_2022.rsproj (input set LTAAEL)*Provides inflow for Lachlan WRP BDL model candidate
Castlereagh Unregulated River Water Sources 2011No modelCAST_MasterModel_
v01.rsproj*
No modelNo modelNo model*The existing model has not been used in compliance
Gwydir Regulated River Water Sources 2016LACHC71A.SYS*
LACHCK022.sqq (with LACHC022.sqq – long term)#
VSC_v27_11_
2022.sqq#
BDL_27_11_
2022.sqq*
VSC_v27_11_
2023.sqq*
CAP_v27_11_2022.sqq
BDL_v27_11_2022.sqq
*Updated for the Healthy Floodplain Project

#Reflects the floodplain licencing regime operational since 2022
Lachlan Regulated River Water Source 2016LACHC71A.SYS*
LACHCK022.sqq (with LACHC022.sqq – long term)#
LachAPT123_Current_
2022_new.sqq
LachBD15.sqq#LachAPT123_
20220518.sqq@
LachBD15_WSP_
2022.sqq
*Reviewed 2002

#Updated model in current use has not yet been externally reviewed

@Submitted for accreditation
Macquarie-Cudgegong Regulated Rivers Water Source 2016macqc013.sqqCC_APT_
20230322.sqq*
MACQ_BDL_
20220908.sqq*
macqBD46.sqq*
macqP110.sqq*
CC_APT_
20230322.sqq*
CC_APT_
20230322.sqq*
MACQ_BDL_
20220908.sqq*
*Submitted for accreditation
Murrumbidgee Regulated River Water Source 2016BIDGK111.iqq Rev.285 BIDGBDLA.iqq
Rev. 243
BIDGPBPA.iqq Rev.326BIDGP103.iqq
Rev.285
 
Murrumbidgee Unregulated River Water Sources 2012No modelUpper_Murrumbidgee_
Stitch_5_12_0_
V18c.rsproj*
No modelNo modelNo model*The existing model has not been used in compliance
NSW Border Rivers Regulated River Water Source 2021IQQM modelBorderRivers_2020_
09_02.rsproj
BorderRivers_2020_
09_02.rsproj
BorderRivers_2020_
09_02.rsproj
BorderRivers_2020_
09_02.rsproj
 
NSW Murray and Lower Darling Regulated Rivers Water Sources 2016The accredited Source Murray Model is held by the MDBASource version 5.20.0; Commit: da9d186; input set BDL.WRP.CurrentSMM run 9600SMM run 9601Source version 5.20.0; Commit: da9d186; input set BDL.LTAAEL 
Peel Regulated River Water Source 2022B120No modelA122E114E114 
Upper Namoi and Lower Namoi Regulated River Water Sources 2016B195NAMO_CAL_274_
5.20.0.12549.rsproj
B514D096NAMO_CAL_274_
5.20.0.12549.rsproj
 

No model is currently available for the following unregulated river system water sharing plans:

  • NSW Border Rivers Unregulated River Water Sources 2012
  • Gwydir Unregulated River Water Sources 2012
  • Namoi and Peel Unregulated Rivers Water Sources 2012
  • Macquarie-Bogan Unregulated Rivers Water Sources 2012
  • Lachlan Unregulated River Water Sources 2012
  • NSW Border Rivers Unregulated River Water Sources 2012
  • Intersecting Streams Unregulated River Water Sources 2011 (a model for this plan is under construction)
  • Murray Unregulated River Water Sources 2011
  • Lower Murray–Darling Unregulated River Water Source 2011.